We know that Pakistan has illegally entered a large part of Jammu and Kashmir known as Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK). Over the past few years, there have been strong statements from top Indian officials about PoK. Foreign Minister S. S. Jaishankar in 2019 said "PoK is part of India and we expect one day to have authority in it." Such statements have sparked controversy over the possible consequences if India returns PoK.

In this article, we will try to understand the potential consequences of India's PoK physical control. The article will attempt to explain the meaning under various headings such as economic, political, geographical, etc. Also, we will examine the impact on issues such as terrorism, divisions, and international relations.

What is PoK?

Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK) consists of various regions. These are called Azad Kashmir, Gilgit, Baltistan, and the Shakaksgam region given to Pakistan by China.

See on the map-


How can India take PoK?

Before we get into the results, let’s understand what the PoK retrieval functionality might look like. Pakistan will not have more peace than PoK to India. This is almost impossible to do easily with a communication channel. Military action is required. This military action should be very short, prompt, and decisive. Prolonged war increases the risk of a nuclear holocaust. No one wants the war to go unnoticed. Also, there is a very high risk of pre-emptive war if China is actively involved.

PoK is heavily defended by Pakistan. Significant military deployments, therefore, need to be reduced first followed by a land grab. The Indian military will work together. Airstrikes, armed maritime and pedestrian operations, the use of strategic weapons such as arrows, and the Navy's operation in the Arabian Sea should be done in close cooperation.

Potential Consequences of PoK Recession

The cost of war is always high. With new weapons and technology wars become increasingly expensive. The forensic team provided the following details. (See photo below). According to this, India has spent 14.6 Billion Rupees a day on the dispute. These are the details of 2002-03. Costs increase several times today.

 Just imagine how much it would cost for a full PoK shooting battle. After taking over the area, India is likely to face opposition from other local groups. The region, therefore, needs military might. This will add to the cost. And the immeasurable loss of life of our brave soldiers cannot be compared to any other loss.

On the other hand, India can benefit economically to some extent. PoK is full of natural resources. Electricity in the region is great. PoK can therefore contribute to the search for power-enhancing power in India. There is also a major sector of the tourism industry.

Political Impact-

India's internal politics is sensitive to such issues. Unfortunately, we have some people who cannot stand for unity when the question of national interest, especially national security, arises. Opposition parties will likely doubt such an operation even though they know its strategic value. Politics may come before national interests. Also, the support of the general public will depend on the success of the project.

Global Politics-

Such ground-breaking events are not uncommon in recent times. The international community often criticizes such practices. For example, Russia's occupation of Crimea was criticized by Westerners. Russia was later expelled from the G8 and became the G7.

 Pakistan's importance to the United States had also increased as it left Afghanistan rapidly. India should therefore be prepared to face harsh criticism. This will be a test for the Indian ambassadors to put India’s official position in front of the world and convince them to support India.

Terrorism: Will Terrorism Sponsored by Pakistan's Administration End?

Pakistan-sponsored terrorism in India especially the Kashmir region will drop dramatically. This is because most of the panic initiation packs and intervention valleys are in PoK. We cannot say that terrorism will end completely because Pakistan may have abandoned this long-standing policy of proxy war. Instead, it will extend this to Indian troops but the battlefield will now be moved from the Kashmir valley to PoK.

Geopolitics Region

Regional geopolitics will be the most affected. The return of PoK offers great prospects for India. This is the following.

1. A direct land route to Afghanistan -

 Gilgit is connected to the Wakhan tunnel in Afghanistan. Direct land connections will reduce India's dependence on Pakistan and Iran to reach Afghanistan. India could play a major role in Afghanistan in the ever-changing dynamics. Trade will grow with Central Asia, Russia, and Europe as well. Also, a gas pipeline from Tajikistan can be imported to India via Pakistan.

2. Cutting Pakistan to China-

 There will be no direct land links between Pakistan and China. Also, India can block the airspace for them. So the only way to connect will be the longest and most uneven route. This will be a major distraction for the ChinaPakistan nexus. China will not be in a position to provide immediate military support to Pakistan in the future.

3. End of CPEC - 

China-Pakistan Economic Development (CPEC) will end with a major setback for China's global interests.

Relations with Pakistan After the return of PoK

They will be at the lowest level. Now the war between India and Pakistan will be held at the Indian-Pakistan international border and not at the LoC (Line of Control) within the Indian subcontinent. Now Pakistan’s focus will shift to reversing PoK. Restoring Kashmir will be of little importance to Pakistani experts.

Relations with China

China’s interests will also be drastically affected. It has heavily invested in CPEC. China won’t want to give away such heavy investments to India easily. So there is the threat of a two-front war with China coming to support Pakistan. India needs to upgrade its military capabilities to counter such a threat.

Jammu & Kashmir

With difficulty in support from Pakistan, separatism in Kashmir will reduce drastically. The union territory will experience stability and economic development.

Conclusion

This article is intended to give overlook possible implications if India takes back PoK. We saw that implications on different fronts are mixed. There will be a loss on the economic front. International image may get damaged and it will be much difficult to administer the newly acquired territory.

On the other hand, there will be immense geostrategic advantages. The whole central Asian region and further Europe will become more accessible to India by land route. China Pakistan nexus can be broken down and terrorism will get a big setback.